Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009068 0.010197 0.011437 0.012903 0.014595 0.016492 0.018788
2025-05-04 0.007267 0.008775 0.010577 0.012905 0.015858 0.019512 0.024429
2025-05-11 0.006316 0.007992 0.010107 0.013008 0.016937 0.022152 0.029728
2025-05-18 0.005561 0.007295 0.009582 0.012870 0.017566 0.024167 0.034398
2025-05-25 0.005067 0.006858 0.009310 0.012987 0.018491 0.026640 0.040047
2025-06-01 0.004602 0.006395 0.008930 0.012870 0.019016 0.028546 0.045085
2025-06-08 0.004126 0.005862 0.008383 0.012423 0.018950 0.029483 0.048646
2025-06-15 0.003848 0.005586 0.008180 0.012466 0.019641 0.031700 0.054738
2025-06-22 0.003705 0.005499 0.008248 0.012933 0.021069 0.035338 0.064040
2025-06-29 0.003424 0.005170 0.007904 0.012680 0.021222 0.036728 0.069273
2025-07-06 0.003170 0.004862 0.007563 0.012392 0.021269 0.037911 0.074278
2025-07-13 0.002993 0.004663 0.007384 0.012361 0.021772 0.040017 0.081607
2025-07-20 0.002896 0.004598 0.007437 0.012779 0.023230 0.044346 0.095086
2025-07-27 0.002734 0.004413 0.007272 0.012785 0.023903 0.047208 0.105955
2025-08-03 0.002604 0.004271 0.007166 0.012887 0.024774 0.050631 0.119049
2025-08-10 0.002452 0.004078 0.006951 0.012750 0.025124 0.052938 0.129835
2025-08-17 0.002349 0.003963 0.006869 0.012866 0.026028 0.056679 0.145562
2025-08-24 0.002225 0.003800 0.006683 0.012750 0.026403 0.059208 0.158523
2025-08-31 0.002070 0.003573 0.006356 0.012308 0.025971 0.059658 0.165322
2025-09-07 0.001986 0.003470 0.006262 0.012350 0.026682 0.063170 0.182895
2025-09-14 0.001955 0.003464 0.006357 0.012812 0.028464 0.069880 0.213409
2025-09-21 0.001849 0.003309 0.006142 0.012562 0.028449 0.071616 0.227043
2025-09-28 0.001748 0.003156 0.005921 0.012277 0.028311 0.072986 0.239833